WTPZ22 KNHC 210841 TCMEP2 TROPICAL STORM POLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172026 0900 UTC MON SEP 21 2026 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 103.8W AT 21/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 50NE 50SE 0SW 20NW. 4 M SEAS.... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 103.8W AT 21/0900Z AT 21/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 104.0W FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 15.5N 103.1W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 70SE 40SW 45NW. FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 15.3N 102.5W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 30SE 25SW 25NW. 34 KT... 70NE 80SE 50SW 50NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 15.3N 102.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 15SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 70SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 15.9N 102.4W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 25SE 20SW 20NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 16.6N 103.0W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 30SE 20SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 17.5N 104.1W MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 45SE 40SW 45NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 80SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/0600Z 18.7N 106.6W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.8N 109.0W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...110NE 100SE 90SW 90NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 103.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPEP2...AT 21/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/1500Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI SNVD15 KWNB 210800 RRL BBXX 41043 21081 99211 70649 46/// /0904 10285 20241 30131 40134 90740 22200 00297 333 91205 555 11039 22041 50134 70740 80904 90731= 42012 21081 99301 70875 46/// /0102 10274 20238 30129 40132 90750 22200 00301 333 91203 555 11022 22023 50132 70750 80103 90741= 42002 21081 99260 70938 46/// /1104 10296 20248 30113 40116 90750 22200 00309 10401 20401 312// 40401 70007 333 91205 555 11039 22041 50116 70746 81104 90749= 44008 21081 99405 70693 46/// /1006 10190 20190 30123 40126 90750 22200 00207 10502 20502 315// 40701 70010 333 91207 555 11065 22069 50122 70746 80907 90747= 41040 21081 99146 70530 46/// /0907 10275 20258 30131 40134 90750 22200 10802 20402 310// 40801 70011 333 91209 555 11081 22086 50134 70750 80808 90749= 44011 21081 99411 70665 46/// /3302 10188 20181 30148 40151 90750 22200 10602 20401 308// 40602 70009 333 91203 555 11022 22023 50151 70750 83202 90741= SOVD83 KWNB 210800 RRX KKYY 21096 0830/ 742368 087795 88870 83099 2//// 3//// 66292 20002 22017 99999 45186= KKYY 21096 0830/ 742491 087779 88870 83099 2//// 3//// 66292 20002 19024 99999 45187= KKYY 21096 0830/ 741892 087563 88870 83099 20001 31841 20003 31862 20005 31862 20007 31862 20009 31862 99999 45198= KKYY 21096 0830/ 748171 123600 88870 82099 2//// 3//// 66492 20001 30045 99999 46267= KKYY 21096 0830/ 745559 123991 88870 82099 2//// 3//// 66492 20001 24050 99999 46278= SNVD15 KWNB 210700 RRX BBXX 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///// 1//// 90631 22200 00307= 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///// 1//// 90641 22200 00307= 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///// 1//// 90651 22200 00307= SOVD83 KWNB 210800 RRX KKYY 21096 0816/ 738679 076174 88871 83099 20003 32565 41516 99999 CXLM2= SNVD15 KWNB 210700 RRX BBXX 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///04 1//// 90700= 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///// 1//// 90701 22200 00307= 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///// 1//// 90711 22200 00307= 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///// 1//// 90721 22200 00307= 42358 21071 99279 70938 46/// ///04 1//// 40129 90730=