ACUS11 KWNS 061507

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 061507 

PAZ000-MDZ000-WVZ000-OHZ000-061730-



Mesoscale Discussion 0998

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1007 AM CDT Sat Jun 06 2026



Areas affected...eastern Ohio...western Pennsylvania...northern West

Virginia...and northern Maryland



Concerning...Severe potential...Severe Thunderstorm Watch likely 



Valid 061507Z - 061730Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent



SUMMARY...Thunderstorm activity to increase in coverage and

intensity through the late morning/afternoon with an increase in

damaging wind potential.



DISCUSSION...A line of storms continues south and east across

portions of eastern Indiana into Ohio, with occasional strong to

isolated severe gusts (50-60 mph). It is uncertain how this will

evolve downstream, with guidance showing potential for maintenance

and intensification along the remaining outflow later in the

afternoon. Gradual increase in forcing for ascent will occur this

afternoon as strengthening mid-level flow overspreads the area with

the trough across the Great Lakes. Filtered heating is expected

through broken mid-level cloud cover. This in combination with dew

points in the low to mid 60s will yield around 1000-1500 J/kg

MLCAPE. Additionally, steepening low-level lapse rates are expected,

supporting downward transport of higher momentum flow aloft to the

surface. Additional downstream development is likely with potential

for several clusters of storms capable of damaging wind through the

afternoon. While exact timing of this threat remains uncertain, a

watch will likely be needed to cover this potential by the

afternoon.



..Thornton/Thompson.. 06/06/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...CLE...ILN...IWX...



LAT...LON   39388094 39598308 39778367 40128449 40428451 40718435

            41138399 41408307 41498278 41707930 41127867 40497870

            39977880 39517912 39388094