ACUS11 KWNS 061739

SWOMCD

SPC MCD 061739 

NHZ000-VTZ000-MAZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-NJZ000-PAZ000-DEZ000-MDZ000-DCZ000-VAZ000-WVZ000-061945-



Mesoscale Discussion 1841

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

1239 PM CDT Thu Aug 06 2026



Areas affected...portions of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic



Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 



Valid 061739Z - 061945Z



Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent



SUMMARY...Thunderstorm coverage to increase through the afternoon

with potential for a few isolated instances of damaging wind.



DISCUSSION...Thunderstorm coverage is expected to steadily increase

through the afternoon, aided by daytime heating and moistening near

the surface trough and ascent near the higher terrain. Steep

low-level lapse rates, 20-30 kts of deep layer shear, and moderate

instability will support potential for a few isolated stronger

clusters/segments spreading east with potential for wet downbursts.

This threat is expected to remain too localized to warrant watch

issuance.



..Thornton/Gleason.. 08/06/2026



...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...



ATTN...WFO...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...PHI...BGM...AKQ...

BUF...CTP...LWX...RNK...PBZ...RLX...



LAT...LON   39077944 42927651 44967308 44417171 42617233 38487694

            38187753 38047837 37917900 38117950 38207953 39077944 



MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH