WTIN20 DEMS 060650

DEMS-RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONES NEW DELHI DATED 06.08.2026

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE NORTH INDIAN OCEAN (THE BAY OF

BENGAL AND THE ARABIAN SEA) VALID FOR THE NEXT 168 HOURS ISSUED AT

0600

UTC OF 06.08.2026 BASED ON 0300 UTC OF 06.08.2026.

BAY OF BENGAL:

YESTERDAY\U2019S UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST BAY OF

BENGAL PERSISTED OVER THE SAME

REGION BETWEEN 4.5 & 5.8 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF

TODAY, THE 06



TH AUGUST, 2026.

A FRESH UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION FORMED OVER NORTH ODISHA &

ADJOINING GANGETIC WEST

BENGAL AT 0.9 KM ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0000 UTC OF TODAY, THE 06TH

AUGUST, 2026 AND LAY

OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL & ADJOINING NORTH ODISHA-GANGETIC WEST

BENGAL COASTS AT 0.9 KM

ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL AT 0300 UTC OF TODAY, THE 06TH AUGUST, 2026.

SCATTERED TO BROKEN LOW & MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED INTENSE TO VERY

INTENSE CONVECTION LAY

OVER BAY OF BENGAL, ANDAMAN SEA ARAKAN COAST, GULF OF MARTABAN AND

TENASSERIM COAST.

*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS)

24      24-48     48-72   72-96    96-120     120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS    HOURS      HOURS        HOURS

NIL      NIL       NIL     NIL      NIL        NIL          NIL





*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

ARABIAN SEA:

SCATTERED LOW AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED MODERATE TO INTENSE

CONVECTION LAY OVER

SOUTHEAST ARABIAN SEA, LAKSHADWEEP ISLANDS AREA, MALDIVES AND COMORIN

AREA. SCATTERED LOW

AND MEDIUM CLOUDS WITH EMBEDDED ISOLATED WEAK TO MODERATE CONVECTION

LAY OVER REST OF THE

ARABIAN SEA.



*PROBABILITY OF CYCLOGENESIS (FORMATION OF DEPRESSION) DURING NEXT

168 HRS:

24      24-48     48-72   72-96    96-120     120-144    144-168

HOURS   HOURS    HOURS   HOURS    HOURS      HOURS        HOURS

NIL      NIL       NIL     NIL      NIL        NIL          NIL

*NOTE: EVERY 24HR FORECAST IS VALID UPTO 0300 UTC (0830 IST) OF NEXT

DAY

REMARKS: NIL=